No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $55.22
- Potential payout
- $56.07
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Polymarket Trader
heimrgondi1
0x33043e534bf4716efc63a90bdacdf412362375d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.07
- Realized PnL
- $10.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $9.07
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.57
- Potential payout
- $8.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Borges position
ATP Toronto – Borges vs. Bagnis
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
PSG position
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance)
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?
Ends Oct 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Southampton win on 2024-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Trudeau resigns by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will 10-24 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?
Ends Oct 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Crimean bridge hit before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?No 99.3% 9.07 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 93.4% 8.57 shares
- Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No 98.3% 5.09 shares
- 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No 99.5% 5.03 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No 99.3% 5.04 shares
- Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?No 99.7% 6.02 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 99.7% 5.02 shares
- 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No 96.2% 5.2 shares
- Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No 98% 9.18 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.1% 56.07 shares
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No 93.9% 9.58 shares