Y
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Polymarket Trader
0x331d...2119
0x331da53d159d676a1985be1a113ebd4828cd2119
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $17.56
- Realized PnL
- $29.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.4%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 3.79x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.94
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $1.66
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Over position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?No 49% 2.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?No 48% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?No 51.5% 1.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?No 51% 1.96 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?No 84% 1.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 87% 1.53 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No 84% 1.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 83% 1.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?No 50% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?No 60.1% 1.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?No 62% 1.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?No 60% 1.67 shares