flyh1gher

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $359.46
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $277.62
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $240.01
Potential profit: $235.81
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $11.07
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $168.93
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $87.75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $13.61
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $41.39
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.42
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.26
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $3.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?