Polymarket Trader

0x33359092c796Ed9F5040b4849BE8ED4f57E7e7D4-1772818474889

0x33359092c796ed9f5040b4849be8ed4f57e7e7d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $525.88
Realized PnL: $505.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $48.13
Potential payout: $8.75K
Potential profit: $8.7K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$21.88

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $363.29
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$218.71

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $21.71
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$10.28

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $45.18
Potential payout: $877.19
Potential profit: $832.02
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.69
Potential profit: $407.69
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $386.08
Potential profit: $385.7
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$9.61

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $112.88
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $42.43
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $34.01
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.78
Potential profit: $16.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.15

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $31.04

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

No position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $3.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 2,777.77 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 877.19 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 1,333.33 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 3,627.5 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 12% 350 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 3,627.5 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.7% 12.5 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 2,500 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 6,250 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 2,777.78 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,333.33 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,428.57 shares