Polymarket Trader

Mathemann

0x33366643c946dc8174078b0079d5541982e6f823

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $906.25
Realized PnL: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$51.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $977.99
Potential profit: $977.99
User PnL: -$93.41

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $412.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $47.5

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $270
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $36

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $223.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $87.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$109.31

Yes position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$146

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$103.5

Yes position

Will someone else win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.98
Potential profit: $77.98
User PnL: -$12.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.65

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.63

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.08

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.19

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.21

Yes position

Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.56

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.05

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.29

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.64

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.6

Yes position

Grok 4 released by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.34

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.5

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.4

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 78% 300 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 290 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 500 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 43.7% 211.66 shares
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Yes 69% 150 shares
Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?

Yes 69.7% 500 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing 59% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Down 9.6% 909.87 shares
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes 52.7% 150 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Up 91.1% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 70% 300 shares