Polymarket Trader

isildursheir

0x33420a3047127748892cc2aa9c3d057e640a731f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.74
Realized PnL: $222.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
User PnL: -$29.49

Yes position

Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $202
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.26
Potential profit: $136.26
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.7
Potential profit: $104.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.5
Potential profit: $102.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday?

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.5
Potential profit: $73.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.88
Potential profit: $65.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Wednesday?

Ends Feb 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.39
Potential profit: $65.39
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.54
Potential profit: $46.54
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.29
Potential profit: $44.29
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.91
Potential profit: $43.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

South Korean People’s Power leader arrested by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.07
Potential profit: $41.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $38.77
Potential profit: $35.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $36.4
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.79

Yes position

Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Yes position

Solana above $200 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

No position

Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin be between $96000 and $98000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 53% 5.66 shares
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 55% 3.64 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 3.92 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 3.85 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 3.7 shares