Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Polymarket Trader
0x3346c255f92B5a0bDFC40fb9d15b5bDB322a00F5-1769710566491
0x3346c255f92b5a0bdfc40fb9d15b5bdb322a00f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.94
- Realized PnL
- $1.87K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $975.59
- Potential profit
- $972.66
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.51
- Potential profit
- $172.51
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.92
- Potential profit
- $20.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.16
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $161.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.61
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.65
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 21.7% 45.98 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 15% 800 shares
- Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 370 shares
- Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.4% 1,178.78 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 1,181.3 shares
- Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.6% 742 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes 31% 135.14 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 21% 10 shares