No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Current value
- $106.84
- Potential payout
- $457.54
- Potential profit
- $350.7
- Multiplier
- 4.28x
- User PnL
- -$42.46
Polymarket Trader
0x3351E8dbC670C806F09421FB2385E0939ddC47aB-1760177711661
0x3351e8dbc670c806f09421fb2385e0939ddc47ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $121.84
- Realized PnL
- -$45.2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89
- Potential profit
- $54.89
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.3% 10 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 30.3% 165.02 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 34% 282.52 shares
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No 95.4% 10 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 97.7% 5.68 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes 38% 26.32 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes 70% 28.57 shares
- Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?No 19% 151.31 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 88% 5.68 shares
- Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?No 33.5% 14.93 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No 65% 10 shares
- Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?No 43.9% 11.39 shares