Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $552.5
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Polymarket Trader
0x3353...c35a
0x3353afa74ef8f5f14339307e1a89ba81406cc35a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $71.57
- Realized PnL
- $208.36
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $466.71
- Potential profit
- $460.41
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $21.96
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $21.52
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $20.42
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $19.84
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.67
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.15
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.72
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 48% 41.67 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 67% 25.37 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 47% 42.55 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 46% 43.48 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 62% 32.26 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 48% 41.67 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Yes 30% 66.67 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 57% 35.09 shares