No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $600.64
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.41
Polymarket Trader
trader2e1
0x335d703ead37ab21ae4708fb159fd0e7c90cc9c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.96K
- Realized PnL
- $9.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $318.75
- Potential payout
- $749.99
- Potential profit
- $431.24
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $10.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $580
- User PnL
- -$383.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.97
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $682.89
No position
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $524.51
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.95
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.97
No position
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.02
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.69
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.24
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.95
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.59
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.2
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.16
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.75
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.03
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.12
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.36
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 80% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 83% 240 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 79% 250 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 97.2% 1,799.97 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 66.2% 580 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78% 500 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 82% 5.17 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 82% 1,100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 28% 631.02 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 31% 200 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 92.5% 1,000 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 80% 698.91 shares