Polymarket Trader

boligendan

0x335f5761882fb8094f8edf33036fdd547b7c51c4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.47K
Realized PnL: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$115.57

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $556.07
Potential profit: $526.32
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $47.21
Potential payout: $305.56
Potential profit: $258.35
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$2.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $277.69
Potential payout: $277.97
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $16.78

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $141.55
Potential payout: $142.12
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $122.01
Potential payout: $125.46
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $107.18
Potential payout: $111.12
Potential profit: $3.94
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $62.73

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $98.57
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $48.57

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $73.48
Potential payout: $78.58
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.11

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $39.98
Potential payout: $76.15
Potential profit: $36.17
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$9.52

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $62.28
Potential payout: $64.41
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $12.28

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $49.01
Potential payout: $54.28
Potential profit: $5.26
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $50.95
Potential payout: $54.17
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $50.15
Potential payout: $52.18
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $51.04
Potential payout: $52.11
Potential profit: $1.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $49.37
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $50.08
Potential payout: $50.3
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.03
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $47.85
Potential payout: $47.97
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $41.47
Potential profit: $35.04
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$11.82

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $40.62
Potential payout: $41.3
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $26.7
Potential payout: $26.8
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $22.55
Potential profit: $22.51
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.31
Potential profit: $22.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.02

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.79

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.18

No position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.12

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.12

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.84

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.27

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.87

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.62

Yes position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.57

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.64

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $22.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.35

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $18.49

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 93% 11.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?

No 93.9% 277.97 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 41% 86.2 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 58% 86.21 shares
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ecuador 39% 128.21 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 168.12 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 1.88 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 30.77 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 41.02 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 30.77 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 45.3 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 10 shares