Polymarket Trader

ogi250

0x33739438875aee79e98a26f87320d984f0703716

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $664.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$11.16

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $226.33
Potential payout: $628.69
Potential profit: $402.36
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$130.47

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $501.63
Potential payout: $505.16
Potential profit: $3.54
User PnL: $65.8

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $384.8
Potential profit: $378.45
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.85
Potential profit: $352.85
User PnL: -$236.88

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $223.22
Potential payout: $264.79
Potential profit: $41.57
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.39
Potential profit: $263.39
User PnL: -$20.84

Yes position

Will Trump Airport become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $14.14
Potential payout: $210.99
Potential profit: $196.85
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$86.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.1
Potential profit: $115.1
User PnL: -$62.71

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $26.31
Potential payout: $110.1
Potential profit: $83.79
Multiplier: 4.18x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.6
Potential profit: $93.6
User PnL: -$20.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "Goat" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.01
Potential profit: $92.01
User PnL: -$30.26

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.78
Potential profit: $78.78
User PnL: -$71.69

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.75
Potential profit: $75.75
User PnL: -$14.39

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.94
Potential profit: $58.94
User PnL: -$30.05

Yes position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 7?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.57
Potential profit: $55.57
User PnL: -$39.45

Yes position

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $53.78
Potential profit: $48.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.85

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $49.92
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $47.09
Potential payout: $47.11
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $18.69

Francisco Comesana position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.92
Potential profit: $45.92
User PnL: -$11.69

Yes position

Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.69
Potential profit: $38.69
User PnL: -$10.7

No position

Haiti elections delayed again?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $12.74
Potential payout: $35.38
Potential profit: $22.65
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$6.37

No position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.58
Potential profit: $34.58
User PnL: -$14.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.67
Potential profit: $32.67
User PnL: -$30.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.9

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.98

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.77

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.67

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.71

Yes position

Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.7

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $27.12

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.75

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.26

Fujian Sturgeons position

Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.86

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.03

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Google say "Flash" or "Flash-Lite" during earnings call?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.45

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.3

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

No 93% 13.04 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 78% 2 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 79% 5 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 84% 2 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 82% 5 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 87% 13.79 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 87% 13.79 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 17.7% 14.11 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 88% 21.97 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 71% 22.95 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 65.8% 14.07 shares