Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$20.1
Polymarket Trader
0x33757cEa39414a6900c62835F6Fc9e70c0Aa78B8-1774551365832
0x33757cea39414a6900c62835f6fc9e70c0aa78b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.92K
- Realized PnL
- $302.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $140.36
- Potential payout
- $228.23
- Potential profit
- $87.87
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $149.33
- Potential profit
- $145.37
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $120.93
- Potential payout
- $144.82
- Potential profit
- $23.9
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $51.56
- Potential payout
- $134.97
- Potential profit
- $83.41
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $130.35
- Potential payout
- $130.87
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $117.93
- Potential payout
- $122.52
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $121.68
- Potential payout
- $121.86
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $120.55
- Potential payout
- $120.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $22.68
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $120.2
- Potential payout
- $120.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.56
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $114.33
- Potential payout
- $117.56
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $114.33
- Potential payout
- $114.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $112.28
- Potential payout
- $112.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $108.51
- Potential payout
- $108.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $107.44
- Potential payout
- $107.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $24.21
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.59
- Potential profit
- $93.59
- User PnL
- -$48.51
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $90.55
- Potential profit
- $89.14
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $74.7
- Potential payout
- $85.86
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $80.63
- Potential payout
- $80.79
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $56.55
- Potential payout
- $56.92
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $54.67
- Potential payout
- $54.94
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.17
- Potential payout
- $51.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.57
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.11
- Potential payout
- $50.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.72
- Potential payout
- $49.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.15
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.18
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.37
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.06
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.2% 28.42 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 86% 6.38 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 90.9% 6.67 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No 82% 76.56 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No 82% 54.42 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 15% 19.89 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 98% 15.5 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 96.1% 6.13 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 96.1% 5.36 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 96.3% 5.36 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 85% 9.5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No 93.3% 5.09 shares