Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $48.77
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $198.15
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $8.77
Polymarket Trader
Ilmavaiva
0x3376d5171469071f3efce7004daf1b8e53dc9c91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.67
- Realized PnL
- $22.73
- Win rate
- 26.7%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $34.2
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $212.72
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $186.83
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $157.25
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.67
- Potential profit
- $144.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $20.31
- Potential payout
- $141.51
- Potential profit
- $121.2
- Multiplier
- 6.97x
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.15
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $93.38
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.46
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Over position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 833.33 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 88.49 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 141.51 shares
- Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 192.31 shares