No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $453.25
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $823.52
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
Polymarket Trader
0x3387...c3f7
0x33878fe42f2bd19f01421d857ff8652bcab9c3f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.45K
- Realized PnL
- -$45.65
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- $708.57
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $109.3
- Potential payout
- $954.63
- Potential profit
- $845.32
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$107.41
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $463.45
- Potential payout
- $874.44
- Potential profit
- $410.99
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$36.03
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $312.53
- Potential payout
- $612.8
- Potential profit
- $300.27
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $67.41
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $84.87
- Potential payout
- $565.79
- Potential profit
- $480.92
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$239.7
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $554.1
- Potential profit
- $553.27
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$98.59
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $113.14
- Potential payout
- $481.44
- Potential profit
- $368.3
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$12.04
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $423.84
- Potential payout
- $424.48
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- User PnL
- $26.25
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $158.49
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $58.49
Yes position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $16.12
- Potential payout
- $153.51
- Potential profit
- $137.39
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $115.26
- Potential payout
- $115.31
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $61.54
- Potential payout
- $106.1
- Potential profit
- $44.56
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.23
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $33.92
- Potential payout
- $38.55
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $37.23
- Potential profit
- $31.83
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $29.16
- Potential profit
- $7.29
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $22.21
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.08
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.56
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.86
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.94
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$131.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 60% 36.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 2.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 675.71 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 36.1% 547.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 238.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 294.12 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 238.55 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 87.72 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 192.31 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 15.7% 37.23 shares
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No 1.2% 51.86 shares
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No 53.7% 130.61 shares