Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $138.66
- Potential payout
- $6.48K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$43.22
Polymarket Trader
Call-me-GG
0x33959a2ecb7654c68f7efbb83807e22543e98cd2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $616.25
- Realized PnL
- $326.4
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $155.25
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $967.5
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $664.99
- Potential profit
- $645.04
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.27
No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $64.62
- Potential payout
- $391.63
- Potential profit
- $327.01
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $14.78
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $90.38
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $294.23
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$9.62
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $79.3
- Potential payout
- $310.97
- Potential profit
- $231.67
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $217.25
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.88
- Potential profit
- $205.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.4
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.12
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $22.03
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $19.38
No position
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.89
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15% 44.98 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.2% 1,400 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No 13% 250 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No 12% 140 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.6% 1,500 shares
- Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 34% 20 shares
- Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 33% 12 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.6% 1,900 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No 74.3% 19.85 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 26% 384.62 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.6% 500 shares