Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $48.99
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$38.1
Polymarket Trader
WrightTom
0x33ad0296eccd9e053f30b07582b9b26178de8b49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.09
- Realized PnL
- $2.26
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $43.95
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$10.93
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$25.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 8% 1,088.63 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 16% 335.38 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 13.4% 66.92 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 18% 137.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 21.1% 66.92 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 15.1% 334.92 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 19% 275.4 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 15% 137.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 21.2% 99.62 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 20% 144.45 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 25.3% 66 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 25.5% 55 shares