Yes position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $155.51
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $867.56
- Multiplier
- 6.58x
- User PnL
- $39.55
Polymarket Trader
PolyPonPon
0x33ad1d3368b37e0095ce59c6873d842429a3f635
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.63
- Realized PnL
- $811.66
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $14.59
- Potential payout
- $219.37
- Potential profit
- $204.78
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.41
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.33
- Potential profit
- $141.33
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.92
- Potential profit
- $7.92
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.45
Yes position
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.27
No position
Yoon arrested by Friday?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.39
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Yes position
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Solana above $155 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
2024 October hottest on record?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.09
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes 14.2% 421.83 shares
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes 9.7% 257.73 shares
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes 9% 128 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?Yes 13% 320 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No 4% 54.63 shares
- Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No 1.4% 130.05 shares
- Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?No 1.4% 100 shares
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 6% 777.68 shares
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes 8.7% 151.26 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?Yes 20.2% 93.76 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 68% 91.82 shares