Polymarket Trader

pcfarowww

0x33ba0bc815f1a63bba046b2d0763a72973335b15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.35
Realized PnL: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $50.75
Potential payout: $537
Potential profit: $486.25
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $29.52

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $159
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.39
Potential profit: $113.39
User PnL: -$6.8

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $28.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be in Spain's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$2.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.3

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.44

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.56

Yes position

Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.19

Yes position

Will Felix Nmecha be in Germany's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.8

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.99

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.1

Yes position

Will Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.8

No position

Will Trump make English the national language?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.05

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.1

Minaur position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.72

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.1

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.18

Yes position

Will: Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.4

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

No position

Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.39

Yes position

Will Nico Schlotterbeck be in Germany's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "War" 15+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peanut" in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" this week?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jérémy Doku be in Belgium's Starting 11?

No 4% 21 shares
Will Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11?

Yes 16% 9 shares
Will Felix Nmecha be in Germany's Starting 11?

Yes 86% 16 shares
Will Cody Gakpo be in Netherlands's Starting 11?

No 3.6% 21 shares
Will Virgil van Dijk be in Netherlands's Starting 11?

No 1% 21 shares
Will Shogo Taniguchi be in Japan's Starting 11?

Yes 94% 9 shares
Will Lucas Paqueta be in Brazil's Starting 11?

Yes 92% 5 shares
Will Nico Schlotterbeck be in Germany's Starting 11?

Yes 94% 24 shares
Will Jonathan Tah be in Germany's Starting 11?

No 1.6% 5.08 shares
Will Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11?

Yes 76.6% 95 shares
Will Felix Nmecha be in Germany's Starting 11?

Yes 89.9% 110 shares
Will Nico Schlotterbeck be in Germany's Starting 11?

Yes 12% 24 shares