Polymarket Trader

lorasw

0x33beef432ce5f3eaeb2cea4937234ca5a5e8adc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $2.22K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $24.61
Potential payout: $9.84K
Potential profit: $9.82K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $57.68
Potential payout: $8.87K
Potential profit: $8.82K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$31.06

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.6K
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$19.55

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $90.85
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $186.33
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $27.83

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $166.05
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $733.95
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $122.85
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $777.15
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$22.95

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny attend UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.68
Potential profit: $595.68
User PnL: -$5.47

Yes position

Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will MrBeast attend UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.01
Potential profit: $519.01
User PnL: -$22.94

Yes position

Will Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.15
Potential profit: $420.15
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.1%
Current value: $121.47
Potential payout: $379
Potential profit: $257.53
Multiplier: 3.12x
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $115.44
Potential payout: $366.49
Potential profit: $251.05
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $18.09

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $15.55
Potential payout: $365.78
Potential profit: $350.23
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$60.44

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $360.28
Potential profit: $355.96
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $359.46
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $359.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $359.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $358.74
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.8

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $25.55

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $17.48

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

No position

Will Ismael Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will Tahith Chong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$13.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 49% 200 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 50.4% 200 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 50.5% 200 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 50% 200 shares
GTA VI released before November 2026?

Yes 20.2% 77.5 shares
GTA VI released before November 2026?

Yes 44.7% 331.53 shares
GTA VI released before November 2026?

Yes 45% 100 shares
GTA VI released before November 2026?

Yes 35% 174.01 shares
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

No 69.3% 5 shares
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

No 64.5% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 83% 20 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

No 89.3% 15 shares