Yes position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.22
- Potential profit
- $119.22
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0x4d67cffcb358b3dc1df7bd320a7d00e26da47757
0x33d7887bbef4b6394075942b7dd5e4d62d907b56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$26.49
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.75
- Potential profit
- $105.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023?
Ends Mar 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.44
- Potential profit
- $90.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1122555.22x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Telegram banned by EU country before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?
Ends Aug 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?
Ends Aug 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
X banned in Brazil before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2509829.83x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 718235.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 6.6% or higher on October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 954088.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 823861.39x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?
Ends Oct 7, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 863216.26x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
Ends Nov 2, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1361778.57x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1769170.30x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting?
Ends Nov 2, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 407298.04x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?
Ends Oct 27, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1210754.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will the Pound dip below the US Dollar before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1378146.37x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?
Ends Nov 2, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 397275.34x
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No 61% 1.51 shares
- Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes 55% 1.82 shares
- Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No 66% 1.52 shares
- OpenAI social app in 2025?No 71% 1.41 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 86% 5.01 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 67% 5.01 shares
- Telegram banned by EU country before October?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Telegram banned by EU country before October?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?No 20% 20 shares
- X banned in Brazil before October?Yes 9% 16.66 shares
- ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?Yes 32.4% 28.68 shares