No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $921.73
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $385.69
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $45.76
Polymarket Trader
BillyRios
0x33debda535987351f6a381e3459384746e2ce384
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $957.05
- Realized PnL
- -$4.69K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $127
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.05
- Potential profit
- $70.05
- User PnL
- -$52.54
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $28.08
- Potential payout
- $47.55
- Potential profit
- $19.47
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $20.47
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $13.76
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.56
- Potential profit
- $14.56
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.32
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.82
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.12
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.37
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$323.69
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$327.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.47K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 67% 1,120.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 18.1% 6,116.66 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 22% 2,218.17 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 85% 438.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7.7% 4,738.75 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.2% 19.62 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 31.5% 21 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 2,977.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.9% 9,449.03 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 21% 349.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 81% 3,873.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 24.2% 12,976.77 shares