No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33.6
Polymarket Trader
0x33de...1015
0x33dec3c6f49c95adba26d0281d3bf312ffca1015
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $149.13
- Realized PnL
- $1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 90% 7 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 8 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 14% 12 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.5% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 32% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 12 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 91.9% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 21.2% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 78.9% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 13 shares