Yes position
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $18.91
- Potential payout
- $12.61K
- Potential profit
- $12.59K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$252.37
Polymarket Trader
tgrdy
0x33e073440d9ac43e2e190e910f0b02b2fbd17d46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.61K
- Realized PnL
- $332.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $3.67K
- Potential payout
- $5.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$964.64
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $890
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $390
No position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $28.6
- Potential payout
- $33.85
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.27K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.69K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9K
Seahawks position
Colts vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66K
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.4K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.29K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49K
Chiefs position
Colts vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Iowa State Cyclones position
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 82% 560.32 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No 74% 188.6 shares
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Yes 0.6% 1,111.97 shares
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.5% 2,923.61 shares
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 11% 57.26 shares
- Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.5% 7,760.13 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.8% 71,634.81 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 71,480 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes 13% 171 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.5% 2,806.67 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.7% 7,630.31 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes 4.6% 24.72 shares