nikita.sparrow

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613.49
Potential profit: $613.49
User PnL: -$105.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.75
Potential profit: $568.75
User PnL: -$92.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.25
Potential profit: $536.25
User PnL: -$81.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $489.63
Potential profit: $489.63
User PnL: -$75.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.56
Potential profit: $460.56
User PnL: -$87.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.14
Potential profit: $391.14
User PnL: -$74.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.4
Potential profit: $386.4
User PnL: -$38.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $385
User PnL: -$96.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.98
Potential profit: $302.98
User PnL: -$92.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.44
Potential profit: $229.44
User PnL: -$27.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.67
Potential profit: $222.67
User PnL: -$31.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.69
Potential profit: $219.69
User PnL: -$27.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.95
Potential profit: $147.95
User PnL: -$29.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.94
Potential profit: $128.94
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.9
Potential profit: $128.9
User PnL: -$14.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.82
Potential profit: $128.82
User PnL: -$13.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $117.01
Potential profit: $112.15
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.67
Potential profit: $98.67
User PnL: -$23.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.98
Potential profit: $86.98
User PnL: -$19.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.44
Potential profit: $86.44
User PnL: -$19.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.31
Potential profit: $86.31
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.19
Potential profit: $86.19
User PnL: -$14.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.16
Potential profit: $86.16
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.14
Potential profit: $86.14
User PnL: -$13.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.09

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.34

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 22?