Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $7.12K
- Potential payout
- $60.59K
- Potential profit
- $53.47K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Polymarket Trader
madril
@madrilllll
0x34026514e0bda25f0f9fbb053fe3070cdc8c9446
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.44K
- Realized PnL
- $291.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $4.45K
- Potential payout
- $60.53K
- Potential profit
- $56.08K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.93K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $8.24K
- Potential payout
- $60.39K
- Potential profit
- $52.15K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $11.38K
- Potential payout
- $60.37K
- Potential profit
- $48.99K
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $35.09K
- Potential profit
- $32.86K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $228.11
Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $297.34
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $12.65
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $719.37
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $96.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.62K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.56K
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.48K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5K
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65K
No position
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69K
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01K
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
No position
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 20% 20.25 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 20% 3,690.3 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 35,087.72 shares
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z 99.9% 2,500 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 20,555.56 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 20,559.01 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 20,574.07 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 20,617.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 10.2% 10,220.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 23.9% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 22.6% 1,327.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 25.3% 1,974.23 shares