Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.2
Polymarket Trader
0x34073Ef2B7Bdf462762ee05d07c519e3B06AdF99-1773641268924
0x34073ef2b7bdf462762ee05d07c519e3b06adf99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.31
- Realized PnL
- $5.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.22
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 59% 3.22 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.45 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.6% 2.17 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 98.6% 1.92 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 55% 3.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98% 1.57 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 38% 5.26 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.2% 1.31 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.53 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 98.9% 5.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 4.89 shares