No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $809.76
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $969.94
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$26.7
Polymarket Trader
umamamami
0x341c6ab034f0246cbfbe06245f2a83fc54e0f2ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $809.76
- Realized PnL
- $340.22
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.5
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update