Polymarket Trader

liq2

0x3423c5cc44b93ae9fedf8d6a25f45a0e9d15fe57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.71K
Realized PnL: $71.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $986.52
Potential profit: $984.05
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$23.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $192.37
Potential payout: $986.52
Potential profit: $794.15
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$78.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $986.52
Potential profit: $986.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $803.92
Potential payout: $986.52
Potential profit: $182.6
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $317.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $986.52
Potential profit: $986.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $307.73
Potential profit: $307.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $124.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $175.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $269.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.11
Potential profit: $268.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $178.75
Potential profit: $178.04
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $146.94
Potential profit: $140.84
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $143.87
Potential profit: $139.48
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $76.91
Potential payout: $143.75
Potential profit: $66.84
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $51.03
Potential payout: $143.75
Potential profit: $92.72
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$3.51

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $55.09
Potential payout: $66.77
Potential profit: $11.68
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $51.89
Potential profit: $51.35
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $23.51
Potential payout: $51.1
Potential profit: $27.59
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $18.18
Potential payout: $50.49
Potential profit: $32.31
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.85
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$6.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $49.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.8% 20 shares
Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 43.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 11.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 51% 8.75 shares