Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $32.9
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Polymarket Trader
0x3427...fbf8
0x34272b6e7d841036f65afbbcd9507aa6809dfbf8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $23.93
- Realized PnL
- -$7.24
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.75x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.18x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.88
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 86% 7 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 6.4% 20 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 91% 5 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 7.1% 20 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 67.9% 8 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 32.1% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 33% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 8 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 78% 6 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 22% 7 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 95.8% 6 shares