Polymarket Trader

VirtualGoon

0x3436d2b80d8648729c173b23f9d4d613b100c291

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.51
Realized PnL: $8.25
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.21
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $126.58
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $20.24
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $22.58
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.88
Potential profit: $20.88
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $13.17
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $9.26
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $13.35
Potential profit: $10.81
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.66

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 72% 12.19 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 94.6% 3.87 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 126.58 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 74.07 shares
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 44.4% 31.54 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 31.7% 31.55 shares
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Yes 37% 13.51 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Yes 0.1% 29.41 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 1% 27.77 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Yes 3% 16.66 shares