Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $702.03
- Potential payout
- $29.25K
- Potential profit
- $28.55K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$156.85
Polymarket Trader
gioogioo
@itsgioogioo
0x34379b9a574de6c5f05b3216a315fbf5b707f8f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.71K
- Realized PnL
- $42.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $377.1
- Potential payout
- $10.47K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$829.79
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.43K
- User PnL
- -$98.16
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $617.86
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$388.11
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$188.55
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $133.05
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$293.73
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$316.23
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $57.65
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$133.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $35.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$24.25
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $386.62
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $262.01
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $757.55
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $632.45
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$28.65
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $138.46
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.54
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $291.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $808.49
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$53.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $614.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $384.99
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $239.95
- Potential payout
- $999.79
- Potential profit
- $759.84
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $936.86
- Potential profit
- $936.86
- User PnL
- -$81.82
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $668.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.38
- Potential profit
- $589.38
- User PnL
- -$259.56
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$166.8
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $34.83
- Potential payout
- $267.89
- Potential profit
- $233.06
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$110.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $8.3K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.74
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.64
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.13
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.49
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $646.35
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $598.16
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.57
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 1,925.95 shares
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 83% 799.99 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 5% 700 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 13% 567 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 3.1% 300.72 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 11.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 72% 0.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 46% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64.3% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 39% 1,619.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 43.93 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 10.2% 1,558.56 shares