Polymarket Trader

Skrzacik

0x343b8d146e8b3dd5795c88ad38a87f5a2377c7ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $230.34
Realized PnL: $296.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $36.01
Potential payout: $126.41
Potential profit: $90.4
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $61.61
Potential payout: $94.05
Potential profit: $32.45
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $29.61

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.27
Potential profit: $91.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35.42
Potential payout: $35.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.42

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $31.21
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $23.39
Potential payout: $28.58
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.72
Potential payout: $14.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.54
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.4
Potential profit: $11.4
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $7.02
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.07

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.55

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.17

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.96

No position

Will Andrew Tate go to the UK before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $2.29

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Musk say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 6.25 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 30% 40 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 70% 7.14 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

No 27% 11.11 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

No 20% 70 shares
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

No 48% 20.83 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 27% 37.04 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 79% 2.53 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 33.33 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
Will the US strike Somalia next?

No 41% 2.44 shares