No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $94.38
- Potential payout
- $94.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.38
Polymarket Trader
Noahn
0x34485b44141fece0288783a8a15e42426240eadc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.82
- Realized PnL
- $66.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.44
- Potential payout
- $35.46
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 99.6% 94.38 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No 98.7% 35.46 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 80% 31.8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 25.9% 59.88 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 78.9% 26.62 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 78.9% 17.74 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes 83.5% 16.77 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.4% 53.93 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 53.93 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.8% 36.81 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 29.34 shares