Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $196.3
- Potential payout
- $250.06
- Potential profit
- $53.76
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Polymarket Trader
0x344a...1f8b
0x344a2245ac9cdfacd12cdbbccfed1b4846d91f8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $613.43
- Realized PnL
- -$686.04
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $144.6
- Potential payout
- $177.45
- Potential profit
- $32.85
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $164.62
- Potential payout
- $174.2
- Potential profit
- $9.58
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $107.91
- Potential payout
- $142.92
- Potential profit
- $35.02
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.81
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.97
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$74.52
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$172.67
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$354
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$481.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 174.2 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 76% 142.92 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 82% 177.45 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 250.06 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 926.54 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 780.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes 69.4% 322.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes 72.1% 317.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 96.3% 236.79 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 93% 723.89 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.8% 685.27 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 97.5% 228.66 shares