No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $820.91
- Potential payout
- $842.39
- Potential profit
- $21.48
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Polymarket Trader
necale
0x3457e10713d25e6e02c146ab8995ff796d033f71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.03K
- Realized PnL
- $384.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $204.3
- Potential payout
- $209
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.93
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.58
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.6% 842.39 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.4% 52.55 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 824 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 140.8 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.1% 410 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.5% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No 98.8% 204 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No 99% 202.85 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 1,091.7 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99% 200 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 94% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 97.6% 1,425.26 shares