No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Platon-k
0x3458c1f372f96dacce1c7c51f301cb972b6a3191
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $221.71
- Realized PnL
- $795.62
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.47
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $48.45
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $801.55
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$10.44
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444.83
- Potential profit
- $444.83
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $76.17
- Potential payout
- $234.38
- Potential profit
- $158.21
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $34.45
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.58
- Potential profit
- $209.58
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $137.93
- Potential profit
- $77.93
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $55.78
- Potential profit
- $54.47
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $37.59
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Hailey Baptiste position
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.8
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.38
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.21
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.33
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.67
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Elisabetta Cocciaretto position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.83
Viktorija Golubic position
Saint-Malo: Clara Burel vs Viktorija Golubic
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $13.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Cocciaretto position
Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs Cocciaretto
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?No 0.8% 400 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 3.9% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?No 0.8% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No 25% 9.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33.9% 100 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 6.3% 19.99 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 2.3% 5 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.8% 18.23 shares