Polymarket Trader

osprey49621

0x347187ca9b3d1b099ea08a58d9710252e9bea9d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.5K
Realized PnL: $8.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $11.75K
User PnL: -$4.24K

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $8.91K
Potential profit: $3.47K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$768.87

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $30.69
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960.67
Potential profit: $960.67
User PnL: -$855

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921.51
Potential profit: $921.51
User PnL: -$857

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $491.75
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $452.05
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.25
Potential profit: $101.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $55.25
Potential profit: $45.06
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $992.96

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.01

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.92

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.74

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.22

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.98

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.35

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.7%
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: $143.89

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.65

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.83

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.42

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.1

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.47

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $67.96

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.08

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $48.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 69.6% 8,905.12 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 55.5% 3,238.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 65.3% 206.72 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 67.1% 143.56 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 68.7% 584.26 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 70.5% 1,391.09 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 66.5% 4,197.7 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 83.3% 5,564.38 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 434.78 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 4,651.97 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 82.8% 4,651.98 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 65.8% 4,197.7 shares