Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $410
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.59K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $100
Polymarket Trader
mehanizator
@mehanizator
0x347b13dbf510484f2c7d0ced7e3e2c40f4f1c9bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.07K
- Realized PnL
- $11.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $18.75K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$167.27
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $865.94
- Potential payout
- $6.93K
- Potential profit
- $6.06K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$227.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $175.81
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$181.82
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $474.58
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $23.98
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $172.51
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$75.95
Yes position
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $262.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $44.43
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$164.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $406.41
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $75.92
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$57.3
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$45.64
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $81.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $363.76
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $913.04
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $7.83
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda win less than 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $994.99
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $21.4
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $978.59
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $87.64
- Potential payout
- $654.04
- Potential profit
- $566.4
- Multiplier
- 7.46x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $492.5
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 48-51% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $488.1
- Potential profit
- $479.07
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $445.05
- Potential profit
- $444.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $392.61
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.9
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.62
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.17
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.37
Yes position
Will Team Heretics win VCT 2026: EMEA League Stage 1?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.69
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $177.34
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.22
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $164.83
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.67
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.74
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.99
Yes position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $135.47
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.22
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 33% 20 shares
- Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 31% 20 shares
- Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?Yes 16% 17 shares
- Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?No 16% 20 shares
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 57% 20 shares
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 49% 30 shares
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 49% 20 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 92.7% 902.39 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 162.19 shares
- Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 5% 200 shares
- No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Yes 5% 41.06 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 50 shares