Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $527.75
Polymarket Trader
sdwwa
0x347d9862403aa27f0605400290ec76a9348ca688
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $399.64
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.26
- Potential profit
- $576.26
- User PnL
- -$191.16
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.32
- Potential profit
- $512.32
- User PnL
- -$231
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $351.14
- Potential payout
- $388
- Potential profit
- $36.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $146.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.25
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.32
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.87
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$35.52
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.94
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$46.43
Yes position
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 26% 403.85 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 85% 122.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 26% 392.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 85.8% 119.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 28% 378.57 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 120.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 28% 735.71 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 236.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 28% 714.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 231.56 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 40.9% 320.02 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 33.7% 270.11 shares