Polymarket Trader

0x34881Cb03a61B7dcc89197aE8CE67Af73D0c4a94-1775917108405

0x34881cb03a61b7dcc89197ae8ce67af73d0c4a94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $190.32
Realized PnL: $19.71
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $33.64
Potential payout: $420.5
Potential profit: $386.86
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $244.44
Potential profit: $223.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$15.22

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $182.92
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.45
Potential profit: $152.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Epstein client list released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $151.48
Potential profit: $149.59
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $24.26
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $122.79
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $17.9
Potential payout: $115.5
Potential profit: $97.6
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $87.17
Potential profit: $77.14
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $85.82
Potential profit: $80.24
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$9.01

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $57.73
Potential profit: $49.65
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $18.81
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $28.81
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $19.29
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $9.29
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.61

Yes position

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 9% 177.78 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 5% 320 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?

Yes 31% 37.03 shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 16% 115.5 shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 17% 147.06 shares
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 188.68 shares
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 11.5% 87.17 shares
Epstein client list released by July 31?

Yes 6.6% 151.48 shares
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Yes 70% 28.57 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 10% 100.5 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares