Polymarket Trader

m340i

@1mayjune6

0x348994c330b383f3ea4c02da7909398d8f0f7fff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.44
Realized PnL: $3.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$165.5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$194

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.54
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$14.85

No position

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $43.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $44.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $34.97
Potential profit: $33.05
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will the announcers say "Neymar" 5+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Royals position

Royals vs. Red Sox

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $952.4

Grizzlies position

Bucks vs. Grizzlies

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.55

Jazz position

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736

No position

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.53

Rams position

Rams vs. 49ers

Ends Sep 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.58

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.84

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.5

No position

Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $32.09

Cowboys position

Giants vs. Cowboys

Ends Sep 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.71

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 10?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Yes 47% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 66.5% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?

Yes 62% 49.05 shares
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

No 97.7% 237.21 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 60.5% 47.29 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

No 97.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 79% 49.99 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 23% 20 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

No 38% 61.57 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

No 39% 10 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Yes 67.7% 40 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 54% 149.98 shares