Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $72.41
- Potential profit
- $62.28
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$10.86
Polymarket Trader
0x348b...de3b
0x348bcf7d9596da7b57dfc94642db527097bede3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $97.88
- Realized PnL
- -$1.92
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $56.43
- Potential payout
- $67.7
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $43.63
- Potential profit
- $38.18
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.42
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.9
- Potential profit
- $26.9
- User PnL
- -$15.91
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.9%
- Current value
- $15.08
- Potential payout
- $19.87
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.78
- Potential payout
- $10.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.4
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.48
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.04
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$7.56
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$12.34
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes 29.7% 26.6 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No 59.1% 26.9 shares
- Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?Yes 98.5% 10.78 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 71.7% 19.87 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85.1% 67.7 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 2.8% 42.27 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Yes 70.1% 39.64 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Yes 15% 39.63 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 34% 42.27 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.8% 55.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 34.9% 20.19 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 96.5% 14.79 shares