TrangNgo

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $50.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $30.7

Yes position

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $168.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $86.12

Yes position

Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $5.62
User PnL: $125.82

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $178.79
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $96.27

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $188.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $62.7

Yes position

Will Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: $26.81

Yes position

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $73.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $68.3

Yes position

Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $90.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $58.47

Yes position

Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $9.59
User PnL: $173.78

Yes position

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $58.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $90.35

Yes position

Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $452.94
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$210.65

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $101.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $98.8

Yes position

Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $10.95
User PnL: $28.27

No position

Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: $18.42

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $201.25
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $93.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $25.51

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $85.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $39.01

Yes position

Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $14.68
User PnL: $224.19

Yes position

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $49.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $15.65

No position

Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $47.16
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $132.08

Yes position

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $22.79
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.31

Yes position

Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $56.15
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $60.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63K

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8K

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.67

No position

Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.4

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.87

Yes position

Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.62

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.3

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.5

Yes position

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.82

Yes position

Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.73

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.32

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.35

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.74

No position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.48

Yes position

Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for NJ-11?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.13

Yes position

Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.4

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.66

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $64.05

Yes position

Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.68

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.86

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $55.88

Yes position

Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.39

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?