No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.59K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- User PnL
- $12.41
Polymarket Trader
rpontici
0x34af3a317ccc5fbed5ed504d13a064ffa7f4bd55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.83K
- Realized PnL
- $3.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.51
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.63
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $143.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $23.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.43
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $966.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $730.15
- Potential payout
- $768.18
- Potential profit
- $38.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $617.21
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $2.79
- User PnL
- $32.81
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $497
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $430.45
- Potential payout
- $435.24
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $378.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $21.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $398.99
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $274.28
- Potential payout
- $324.6
- Potential profit
- $50.31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $298.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $230.99
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $69
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $260.14
- Potential payout
- $264.5
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $152.63
- Potential payout
- $154.33
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $114.49
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $98.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.85
Microsoft position
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $21.48
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $46.7
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$16.7
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $60?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $58.41
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.59
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.67
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.16
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $223.83
No position
Will Netflix reach $228 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.69
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.09
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.31
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.71
No position
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.57
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.05
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.13
Movistar KOI Fénix position
LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.77
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.81
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.03
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.98
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No 97.5% 264.5 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No 95.3% 342.01 shares
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of June 22 2026?No 99% 10 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $60?Yes 99% 60 shares
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of June 22 2026?No 98.7% 15 shares
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of June 22 2026?No 97.7% 420.24 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No 98.7% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 93.8% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No 84.9% 116 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No 94.8% 100 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 43.95 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 107.57 shares