Polymarket Trader

Guak

0x34bb9b7356aa821e2d084873e549ef028c7af3e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.56K
Realized PnL: $787.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $9.67K
Potential profit: $7.57K
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: -$465.56

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $119.79
Potential payout: $958.34
Potential profit: $838.55
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$30.21

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $39.25
Potential payout: $777.3
Potential profit: $738.04
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $22.49
Potential payout: $398.04
Potential profit: $375.55
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $20.08
Potential payout: $378.8
Potential profit: $358.73
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $49.67
Potential payout: $219.3
Potential profit: $169.63
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.8%
Current value: $132.08
Potential payout: $213.73
Potential profit: $81.64
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$36.79

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.6
Potential profit: $195.6
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $180.09
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.24
Potential profit: $145.24
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.63
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$9.63

No position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $36.66
Potential payout: $112.81
Potential profit: $76.15
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.66

DR Congo position

Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $33.62
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $69.83
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Toronto Blue Jays position

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.16

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.5

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Athletics position

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03

Senegal position

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.39

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.67

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.16

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $28.01

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.63

No position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Washington Mystics position

Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.79

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.83

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.17

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.89

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians 51% 19.61 shares
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago Cubs 31% 32.25 shares
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins 51% 21.57 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins

Colorado Rockies 40% 25 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 101.01 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Atlanta Braves 52% 38.46 shares
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees 50% 60 shares
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 52% 19.23 shares
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals 45% 44.44 shares
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun 39% 51.28 shares
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky

PortlandFire 36% 27.78 shares