Polymarket Trader

MatiazVog

0x34bfc138f9f4d3937ae1fecc93c974008b0b26e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.04K
Realized PnL: $20.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $18.65K
Potential profit: $16.81K
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $228.01

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $338.36
Potential payout: $13.32K
Potential profit: $12.98K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$22.39

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $8.26K
User PnL: -$522.65

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $656.92
Potential payout: $6.41K
Potential profit: $5.75K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$97.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $105.9
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$6.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.51K
User PnL: -$537.01

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$814.44

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$19.65

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $653.04
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$34.28

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $72.01
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $9.86

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$67

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$390.51

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $195.92
Potential payout: $948.77
Potential profit: $752.85
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$57.37

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930.93
Potential profit: $930.93
User PnL: -$51.22

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.75
Potential profit: $726.75
User PnL: -$144.08

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.44
Potential profit: $565.44
User PnL: -$16.96

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $24.95
Potential payout: $548.35
Potential profit: $523.4
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $66.35
Potential payout: $532.91
Potential profit: $466.56
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$6.86

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.14
Potential profit: $386.14
User PnL: -$42.18

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.02
Potential profit: $236.02
User PnL: -$17.43

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $210.4
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$6.58

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.65
Potential profit: $166.65
User PnL: -$20.46

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $8.13
Potential payout: $122.24
Potential profit: $114.11
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $64.99
Potential payout: $111.1
Potential profit: $46.11
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$9.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $709.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.73

Senators position

Senators vs. Rangers

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.09

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.13

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.76

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.34

Stars position

Stars vs. Avalanche

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.93

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 130.83 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 258.01 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2% 555.55 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 777.52 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 333.3 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23.8% 111.1 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 144.07 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 39.97 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 39.97 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 428.63 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 311.49 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 0.05 shares