Polymarket Trader

richardd

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.5K
Realized PnL: $2.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $5.42K
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$2.11K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $5.42K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$19.14

Utah State Aggies position

Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $947.11
Potential profit: $947.11
User PnL: -$57.95

Yes position

Will $DJT's market cap be between 4.25b and 4.5b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.11
Potential profit: $882.11
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will Andril Govorov win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $817
Potential profit: $817
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.99
Potential profit: $649.99
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632.98
Potential profit: $632.98
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will $DJT's market cap be between 4.5b and 5b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.23
Potential profit: $574.23
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.24
Potential profit: $559.24
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.46
Potential profit: $549.46
User PnL: -$163.85

Yes position

Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 26 be less than 2,250,000?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $499.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $489.59
Potential profit: $489.59
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.42
Potential profit: $461.42
User PnL: -$19.39

Yes position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.4
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$87.51

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$109

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kennesaw State Owls position

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $449.63

Cristian Garin position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $324.81

Akron Zips position

Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.19

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $183.48

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.03

Yes position

Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $151.06

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.28

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.99

No position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.32

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.81

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.38

No position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.94

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.36

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $74.3

Saint Louis Billikens position

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.84

Iowa State Cyclones position

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.7

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $69.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.29

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $64.8

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 91.7% 50 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 91.7% 27.96 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 86.7% 27.85 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 94% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 3.9% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?

No 66% 6 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?

No 66% 14 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 27% 20 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Yes 14% 45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 20?

No 70% 4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 20?

Yes 26% 13.51 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?

No 53% 15 shares