Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $169.2
- Potential payout
- $289.23
- Potential profit
- $120.03
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $128.87
Polymarket Trader
0x34CD950C1c6C66c78632c69Cdb2194938D08527c-1772570112341
0x34cd950c1c6c66c78632c69cdb2194938d08527c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $267.87
- Realized PnL
- $35.87
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $240.5
- Potential profit
- $240.38
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.57
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $38.68
- Potential payout
- $76.6
- Potential profit
- $37.92
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $42.42
- Potential payout
- $73.14
- Potential profit
- $30.72
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $48.2
- Potential profit
- $45.31
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.41
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $14.56
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.44
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 99.9% 498.99 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 93.9% 87.8 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 94% 415.75 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 48% 51.54 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 14.32 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 37.22 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 9.8% 230.12 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?No 59.6% 288.49 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No 44% 54.73 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?No 71% 13.15 shares