Yes position
Will Mistral AI have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Xiaomin
@twmxa41994635
0x34d7c1f052c5cb515e5d864bcdb8cdb15cb844a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $69.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488
- Potential profit
- $488
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.23
- Potential profit
- $112.23
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.73
- Potential profit
- $103.73
- User PnL
- -$97.88
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will XRP reach $3.50 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No 94.4% 103.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No 99.7% 98.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No 94.6% 97.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No 99.9% 92.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 99.9% 92.09 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.6% 20.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.9% 24.02 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 45.05 shares
- Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.3% 88.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No 99.9% 89.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 95% 89.65 shares